No Stupid Questions@lemmy.world · 2 days ago

How can I learn to estimate the likelihood of real-world events?

No Stupid Questions@lemmy.world · 2 days ago

I’m interested in developing the skill to estimate probabilities for real-world situations. What are the best ways to learn this systematically? Are there books, courses, or exercises that teach probabilistic thinking, Bayesian reasoning, or practical forecasting skills?

I want to check this math and see if the AI is gaslighting me.

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scarabic@lemmy.world
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19 hours ago
SMH. You could get hit by a meteor tomorrow, or you could not. I guess you have a 50% chance of dying! Good luck with it man… I hope you make it.

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