At least in Europe most of our governments have made it amply clear that they would return to the status quo in a heartbeat. With some concessions, sure, and there’s a lot of market related damage that they couldn’t undo if they wanted to but the general sentiment seems to be that “we had a good thing going”. Trump is entirely unpredictable as a partner but I don’t see things as hopeless long term.
I also get that perception, at least what they’re showing outwards, but it’s starting to feel like the EU is actually starting to plan for a future that has at least a much smaller dependence on the US.
I think for the pragmatic diplomats, it makes sense to show you’re willing to go back to the old way of doing things because it might make the transition less painful, you get to keep at least some of the benefits and goodwill while you prepare to move away from them.
However, I also think there are unfortunately a lot of spineless (and greedy) people in power who would go back to, for example, a president Newsom in a heartbeat despite the risks it poses.
I think you can see the more open signs of shying away from American products, with Europe starting to officially adopt FOSS software like Linux or LibreOffice. That is a relatively easy change to make, since there is less physical logistics involved with the transition.
Material things, like shipments of manufactured goods for the F-35 program, would become evident in a decade or so, IMO.
At least in Europe most of our governments have made it amply clear that they would return to the status quo in a heartbeat. With some concessions, sure, and there’s a lot of market related damage that they couldn’t undo if they wanted to but the general sentiment seems to be that “we had a good thing going”. Trump is entirely unpredictable as a partner but I don’t see things as hopeless long term.
I also get that perception, at least what they’re showing outwards, but it’s starting to feel like the EU is actually starting to plan for a future that has at least a much smaller dependence on the US.
I think for the pragmatic diplomats, it makes sense to show you’re willing to go back to the old way of doing things because it might make the transition less painful, you get to keep at least some of the benefits and goodwill while you prepare to move away from them.
However, I also think there are unfortunately a lot of spineless (and greedy) people in power who would go back to, for example, a president Newsom in a heartbeat despite the risks it poses.
I think you can see the more open signs of shying away from American products, with Europe starting to officially adopt FOSS software like Linux or LibreOffice. That is a relatively easy change to make, since there is less physical logistics involved with the transition.
Material things, like shipments of manufactured goods for the F-35 program, would become evident in a decade or so, IMO.
he has been predictable with putin, and the ME though, only with them.