The fact that someone stood up and said “we do not trust the honor of the US to fulfill a debt” is important. We’ll see how much of an impact that actually has, but my kneejerk reaction is that it was meaningful.
I don’t think that needs to happen, if you get into a hyperinflation situation, right? And Trump and co have been doing a lot to destroy the underlying productivity of the us economy over the last year.
They are right to do so. But also, this is a market measured in trillions
The fact that someone stood up and said “we do not trust the honor of the US to fulfill a debt” is important. We’ll see how much of an impact that actually has, but my kneejerk reaction is that it was meaningful.
:-/
The global market will pounce on $100M in underpriced Treasuries.
A better question is what the Danes plan to replace the reserves with. Now would be a cool time to roll out EuroBonds.
That said…
This is, has, and will continue to be a dumb reason to sell US Treasuries. The Bond Vigilantes always lose their shirts in the end.
Do you assume that a collapse of the US economy is impossible?
It’s highly unlikely under current conditions
What conditions would be needed to make it likely?
Quite a few. But, just for starters, you’d need the Federal Reserve to turn off the unlimited money spigot.
I don’t think that needs to happen, if you get into a hyperinflation situation, right? And Trump and co have been doing a lot to destroy the underlying productivity of the us economy over the last year.