The intelligence assessment concluded that no one powerful or unified opposition coalition was poised to take over in Iran if the leadership was killed, according to the people familiar with the report. It determined that Iran’s establishment would attempt to preserve continuity of power if Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed, the people said.
In line with the assessment’s findings, Iran’s leading clerics on Sunday chose a new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, to succeed his father, who was killed in the war’s opening salvo. The son is believed to hold views that are even more hardline than his father, and his selection is a strong sign of resistance from Iran’s leadership and an indication the government won’t step aside quickly.
A spokesperson for the Office of the Director of National Intelligence declined to comment on the assessment on Monday and referred questions to the White House. Director Tulsi Gabbard fired the council’s acting chairperson last year after the release of a declassified NIC memo that contradicted statements the Trump administration has used to justify deporting Venezuelan immigrants.
Trump, dating back to his first term, has been deeply skeptical of the U.S. intelligence community and has frequently dismissed its findings as politically motivated or part of a “deep state” effort to undermine his presidency.
Richard Goldberg, director for countering Iranian weapons of mass destruction at the National Security Council during Trump’s first term, noted that there’s also a measure of skepticism toward the intelligence community because of some of its big misses in recent years.
Goldberg, who is now a senior adviser at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, a hawkish Washington think tank, said an intelligence assessment is “almost like an op-ed from the intelligence community.”
Trump: Places loyalist (John Ratcliffe) in charge of the CIA.
That loyalist reports directly to the another loyalist who is the Director of National Intelligence (DNI, Tulsi Gabbard). The DNI serves as the director over all U.S. intelligence.
Trump: Works with CIA to invade a country, kidnap leader, over throw a regime, and bring that leader back to the U.S. to face trial
Also Trump: I was skeptical of the CIA. You know, because of the deep state…

