What the title says. I think there is still a long way for that to happen but i’ve been hopeful. What do you think?

  • Margot Robbie@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Not everyone who left Digg went to reddit, and not everyone who left Myspace went to Facebook. “Replacing” reddit should never be the goal, it should be “be better than reddit”.

    If this is ever to go mainstream, what we should be concerned about is making good, high quality original content. If people see us having fun and being nice here, they’ll want to join in too.

  • pieplot@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    In their current state, definitely not. There is a real bubble effect browsing on Lemmy because it feels like 1 post out of 3 is just praising the platform, but I think they’re far from ready to become mainstream. I’d say there are for now 2 major problems:

    • The global instability (a lot of bugs, many third party apps, but a poor on-boarding with the main website).

    • It was made by engineers and marketed by engineers. The federated aspect should IMO be public and known, but seamless. It should be possible to just create an account and start browsing without having to do some research on how the thing works. The technical aspect of the fediverse is great, but it’s also its main drawback, I believe that hiding it for newcomers could be a way of not scaring them.

    • glockenspiel@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      I agree about the bubble effect. I feel it, too, even though I don’t consider myself in a bubble. I truly am enjoying Lemmy and the conversations more than anything else even somewhat similar to it. The smallish nature of the community probably combined with the slightly elevated bar for joining means the riff raff isn’t here in large numbers yet.

      Lemmy, today, honestly reminds me of Reddit 15 years ago.

      Perhaps this is the bubble effect, but I have a high confidence level in the major third party devs being able to streamline the sign up process. It is already happening in some apps.

      The stability problems are another story. I encourage people to go to the front page of their respective communities and look for donation links. Even $1/mo on Patreon can snowball into large sums as Lemmy.World shows.

      • Elkaki123@vlemmy.net
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        1 year ago

        Stability would be fixed if people realized they don’t have to all join the biggest two communities, which is part of the education problem we have right now for completely new users.

        Although servers have really been scaling nicely regardless of those days right after the privating and then July 1st

    • SwallowsDick@lemmy.ca
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      1 year ago

      I agree, but I’m also optimistic because the glitchiness, server performance, and user interface issues are all things that can be fixed in the future.

    • FlihpFlorp@lemm.ee
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      1 year ago

      I feel like there should be a button of “hey you want me to handle this for you and pick an instance” I managed to figure out the basics and liked the post office example that memmy uses where I can mail a letter to my fellow lemm.ee friends down the street but can also get mail and news from across the country. Helpful admins are also good. I’m not super duper tech literate but I figured it out.

      Like I said reducing barriers to entry will be helpful because I didn’t come here till Apollo kicked the bucket

      • normalmighty@programming.dev
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        1 year ago

        It’s something reddit was actually good at. Tons of people used to find reddit way too confusing because they didn’t understand subreddits, so reddit responded by making a list of default subs for the “don’t know don’t care” crowd that makes up 90% of users in practice.

        Sure, it opened a different can of worms in that it tanked the quality of those subs when most users didn’t really get the pount of subs, but it massively lowered the barrier to entry on the platform.

        We have a much higher barrier to entry with instances, and I really think something should be put in place to lower it.

    • trambe@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Agreed with the second part. I think the federated servers are a neat concept, but at the end of the day what made reddit easier was that everything was on one server. You create an account and that’s it, you can browse every subreddit.

      I hope it’ll grow more, but rnow I think they should work on making the whole experience more seamless

    • calr0x@sh.itjust.works
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      1 year ago

      Just my opinion but that ease of use will come in time. The more the learning curve exists the more we will get the power users that made Reddit special and the more Lemmy will stay special.

      I don’t want the Reddit of today on Lemmy. I want the Reddit 10 years ago when there was a fraction of the users on it.

      We are doomed to ultimately have the same struggles that read it ended up with in terms of content and users but we can keep it held off as long as possible.

      • pieplot@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        I disagree with you, yes, ease of use will come for power users, but in the end it’s the diversity of people interacting with the platform that creates communities with valuable content. And to attract more people the platform needs less friction at on-boarding.

    • Ciren@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Mastodon is pretty good with federation stuff. All that is different from Twitter is that all accounts have two @ signs in their names but that’s it. Everything else is pretty seamless, at least on the phone with the official mobile app

  • SkyNTP@lemmy.ml
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    1 year ago

    Being on the internet used to be not cool.

    Email and www. … .com was as foreign to the mainstream as the Fediverse is to the mainstream today.

    The nerds build cool shit, the corporations chase the hot new thing to milk every last dollar out of the mainstream who want the cool new toys, and the mainstream inevitably ruins the cool new toy because they don’t understand how or why it was made in the first place.

    This is the way of human nature. It has played out on the internet since the start (and probably well before that) and it will probably play out again on the fefiverse (just look at Meta).

  • utg@mander.xyz
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    1 year ago

    Yes, but not in the way you’d think.

    I think lemmy won’t be easy enough to use for a vast majority of users, they’ll stick to the traditional platforms.

    However, I think if the hype continues for a while, and the little kinks are ironed out soon enough, it will give rise to a new, different kind of platform.

    People have this idea that lemmy will replace reddit and just become Reddit 2.0. I think lemmy is still a place similar to a phoenix burning. The new bird has yet to take it’s first breath, and it’ll be quiet different from what we imagine or what we are used to today

  • luffyuk@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Absolutely not in their current formats.

    Sign up needs to be simplified enough that your gran could do it and we need way more professional UIs. After those two things, it could happen.

    • Brandon658@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Agreed. Not sure if there is a fair and easy way for the whole “instance” user distribution but the current set up isn’t straight forward. Not to say it was difficult but my experience with it was an immediate thought of this barrier of entry is too steep. It’s unlike what most anyone has likely ever encountered. (at least knowingly.)

      Like mapping a network drive. Is it an actually difficult task? No. Can any significant portion of the general population identify what I just stated? Probably no. Sure a small percent may go on to Google that and figure it out. But in general I find it bad practice to ask that of them.

      Would it be reasonable if some algorithm handled that aspect and just default assigned people based on location, maybe a couple quick questions of their interests, and the hosts willing capacity increase rate? Plus some other factors I didn’t think of. In some text could also say you can choose from a list of instances if you so choose or just leave it as is.

      • luffyuk@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        It should automatically assign by default, but have an “advanced sign-up options” button that you can use if wanted.

  • VirtualDriver895@lemm.ee
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    1 year ago

    Right now? Absolutely not. The platform itself is insanely buggy, normies still can’t wrap their heads around federation, and the big instances are only just beginning to stabilize and take shape.

    But long term yes, I’m very bullish, and it’s for this simple fact: this is only the beginning of enshittification. All those r/NBA whiners you saw bitching on Reddit about the protests are gonna have their “leopards ate my face” moment when spez decides to start charging $14.99 a month for the privilege of subscribing to more than three subreddits at a time or some shit.

    As many have said, interest rates are high and the gravy train has stopped running. This means the only way these huge platforms with massive server costs are going to survive is by making a profit, and they can’t do that without resorting to Twitter Blue-like subscriptions.

    If people want to consoom and shitpost for free, at some point they will have to end up here in the fediverse, where the costs of running such a huge platform can be distributed among a bunch of large and medium-sized instances, which will probably be mainly funded by donations.

    I think this is the beginning of a big transition, as big as the one from web 1.0 to 2.0. And ironically it’s gonna look a lot more like the internet of old than the era of massive social media platforms.

    • jwmgregory@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      What makes you so confident users won’t by and large accept the charges and boot from large social media platforms? Debatably piracy and a home media server have a lot of the same pros as Lemmy and the Fediverse. For the most part, however, people tend to cough up the 10-25 dollars for a streaming service. It’s not because of any practical reasons, at least directly. The true decider is cultural and societal attitudes towards the platforms providing a service. People practically don’t pirate because of the learning curve, but realistically don’t pirate because of their preconceived notions surrounding the practice. Maybe they think it’s wrong. Maybe they think it’s too hard. Maybe it just feels like too much work to set up. Maybe the communities feel too insular. Whatever the reason, it’s fundamentally because of some idea or feeling they have surrounding the medium. Who’s to say these big tech companies won’t successfully execute their goal, and push a larger cultural shift to make the idea of subscription social media more appealing to the average user than the idea of a clunky service using ActivityPub. Maybe the narrative of these spaces being too techbro-y gets pushed, and they garner a similar reputation in the public eye that piracy communities have. It could be seen just like streaming services and piracy. The public could be convinced of the value of familiarity and convenience. Has great work been done to fight against this corpo push lately? Absolutely. But don’t look at these “blatant missteps” that places like reddit and twitter have experienced as of late as omens of an imminent downfall of centralized, capitalist social media. Rather, look at it as a warning sign. A warning sign that heralds the first in a long, deliberate line of many who will follow in those footsteps, gradually pushing the Overton Window surrounding these prices towards their goal. Today Reddit and Twitter are the bad guys so that tomorrow Meta and others can make the same moves, with the added benefit of “it’s just not our choice, we must make these changes to remain viable in the current market.” In the eyes of many, not all, but the majority; this is an absolution. They will be able to succeed. They know this, that’s why they’re doing it and it’s happening now. The Fediverse and a free net will not survive unless the battle can be won in the public consciousness. We must overcome the significant hurdles between federated software design and mass adoption. We must take a direct, meaningful, and effective course of action to directly fight against this, it will not passively be won.

      EDIT: Typo; missing word “Rather, look at it [as] a warning sign.”

    • henfredemars@infosec.pub
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      1 year ago

      I like how in your point of view it appears (please correct me if I’m putting words in your mouth or misrepresenting your position) that the platform getting better would be nice but it’s actually not that relevant compared to the fact that other platforms are getting worse and will likely continue to do so as they prioritize shareholders over users.

      It’s like a reverse marathon where you win by not running backwards as fast as everyone else. A leisurely stroll forwards is like moving at super speed.

  • pinwurm@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Lemmy has a long way to go in terms of user experience before it can effectively compete with Reddit. The majority of new accounts in the last weeks have been spite users. That is, they’re here not because they love Lemmy - but because they hate Reddit.

    That’s not a bad thing, per say. It doesn’t matter how people get here. It’s more important that they have a good reason to stay.

    And the average user doesn’t care if something is federated or centralized. They just want a product that works and is simple to grasp. In my opinion, app developers are going to be the gamechanger Lemmy needs Stuff like Memmy (on the iOS app store today!), Mlem, Liftoff, Thunder are pretty much better than the official Reddit app. And that’s how most people consume content these days. When there’s no enshitification ads or microtransactions - there’s clearly going to be a winning experience.

    It’ll take time, but as more Federation communities build - the less Reddit is necessary. As well, it usually takes a long time before people start catching on that the tools they once loved have turned to into bots and spam.

    Mastodon is in it’s 7th year, and has like 8 million active users. Twitter had 200 million users by it’s 7th year. On one hand, Mastodon is the biggest Federation app. On the other, Twitter was 25x as large. Of course, Twitter is no longer the relevant “town hall” it once was - and is hemorrhaging users and respect. So who knows. It only takes a few celebrity endorsements to get countless folks switching. Who knows

  • 😌😌😌@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    fuck dude I hope not. The best part of Lemmy to me is the fact that it’s not as big as the others, and what Lemmy gives me is that same feeling of freedom websites in the 2000s and early 2010s felt like they had.

    • decadentrebel@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      This is true. There’s so little threads, you can follow something that was posted a day or two ago and chime in just like the discussion boards of old.

    • Zozano@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      My biggest fear is that it develops a “hive-mind”.

      Before the migration, lemmy.ml was the biggest instance, and is explicitly communist.

      Don’t get me wrong, I’m all for communism, but I don’t want to be part of a circle-jerk and read about it every day.

    • bozzwtf@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Agreed. Either way - I’m just happy to see they content flourishing here. Just regular-ass shit.

    • GatoB@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      I hope it does, but before that we need a more stable server, horizontal scalable, and better apps, they are being worked on

  • synthy@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Why do they need to be replaced? Just use lemmy/mastodon and forget Reddit even exists. Not sure why people are so hung up on “replacement” when all you need to worry about is enjoying the content and interacting. Fuck Reddit and twitter, comparison is the thief of joy.

      • InfiniWheel@lemmy.one
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        1 year ago

        This is a necessary stage for all platforms really and also a breath of life.

        Look at how Tumblr was basically dead after banning porn, it has held on for dear life thanks to shitpostingto this day.

    • 0235@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      I use Reddit for duckduckgo searches (if they lead me there) and to look for info. I interact and post to Lemmy.

  • trouser_mouse@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    I think it remains to be seen. The rapid growth of .world has been the first real production test of how the platform handles more users and content. Amazing work by the team, but there are a lot of rough edges and it is a new platform with a lot of unknowns.

    The things that spring to mind for me are:

    • Sign up needs to be streamlined and made more simple, and find a way to not overload individual servers without just randomly assigning people to instances.

    • Live defects, bugs and things feeling rough around the edges.

    • Back-end build and scaling.

    • Duplicate communities across instances.

    • Account migration between instances.

    • Data retention past x period - how will various instances handle this with a large number of users.

    • GDPR and data request compliance from individuals, governments, etc.

    • Funding the costs and resources associated with rapid, large growth. How do people know what their money is going to fund? I think there needs to be real transparency, public roadmaps and backlogs and understand how / if admins are accountable.

    • How the platform and users will respond to large corporations or even individual admins on instances adding adverts, using / selling user data in ways the userbase do not expect.

    • MysteriousSophon21@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      The biggest issue would be data retention. Reddit serves as a real world database that stores all the historical content and search engines like google make it searchable.

      We’re talking about petabytes, and lemmy hardly has a few gigabytes.

      Who is going to store all this data, even in a distributed environment, the bigger instances would have to store a few hundred terrabytes (per year).

      • teolan@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Text is very light and compresses very well. While instances may risk having scaling issues with photo and video, text should be very easy to archive forever.

        • barsoap@lemm.ee
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          Media is only stored by the instance of the user that’s uploading it, if you want to upload tons of data you’re going to end up having to self-host.

          …and it’s not like links don’t break on reddit all the time. Don’t worry about archiving that’s what archive.org is for.

      • cosmicrookie@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        On the other hand, do we really need to store it? Sure some posts will remain relevant, but many and even most posts on reddit, forums etc are outdated. Maybe communities and mods should decide what posts are relevant and make them permanent, where the rest just get erased after a set period of time that the community sets.

        • 0235@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          I specifically use Reddit for the data retention and ease of finding “old” information, unlike basically other social media which scrubs it from any search even seconds after you looked at it (even if they still store the data)

      • Vipsu@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Personally I think its ok for instances to delete older posts to save space provided that there are means to archive threads that users find valuable. For fediverse to thrive it should be as easy as possible for people to setup and manage instances without having to think about the storage space too much.

        Archival of historical content is something that I feel should be handled separately.

      • trouser_mouse@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        That’s really interesting, what are the benefits to duplicate communities beyond one server going offline or not retaining data? Is it better to have a lot of smaller communities with duplicate posts in them and having a quite splintered user base, or having everyone in one place but have the risk of having all the eggs in one basket!

        • Rooki@lemmy.worldM
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          1 year ago

          The resiliance to opresion. Because federation it is wanted to have smaller communities. As everything is splintered into small communities. And smaller communities are better managable.

    • febra@lemmy.world
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      There are still a bunch of UI bugs that remain to be solved. That one is also a big hurdle to becoming mainstream

  • Longnosetony@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    It doesn’t need to become mainstream. I’ll be happy to be a part of a smaller but vibrant engaged community. I hope there will be a phone app some day through

  • Captain_Shakespeare@reddthat.com
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    1 year ago

    I think anyone who was around, and online, before reddit/twitter/Facebook became the consolidated social media behemoths that they are, are willing to learn something new. The before-times were replete with smaller communities where your internet handle was the only real source of continuity (and even then, only if you wanted it to be).

    But those whose ONLY experience of online discourse is the big 3? It’s a lot to adjust to. I don’t know if this is what will hit critical mass, but then, maybe that’s setting the wrong goal to begin with. Can the communities connected here be self-sustaining for a time, regardless? Definitely.

    • MileyCyrus@lemmy.world
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      My guess this whole time is that investors want to 1) capture the Facebook/boomer/Candy Crush crowd and 2) let anyone (foreign entities) pay to peddle influence whether political or otherwise.

      Pump and dump.

      Reddit will be circling the drain after the 2024 US election, is my estimation.

  • Vipsu@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    I think there’s good chance for Lemmy and mastodon to become mainstream but I don’t they can replace their centralized counterparts. Mainly because I think that the social media in its current form is changing.

    While platforms like Reddit, Twitter, Facebook and Tiktok are likely not going anywhere for a while, each time these platforms break the trust of their users the more cracks start to form to the service that leak out users. Some of these users will look for something new, some of these users will look for alternate services, some of these users will create their own services.

    Many of these platforms rely on the attention economy, so all it really takes to make these platforms struggle is to divide that attention more and more to competitive platforms and services. This fragmentation has been happening for years now with people dividing their attention between multiple services like reddit, twitter, discord, facebook, tiktok, snapchat and whatnot. Now creating similar service for smaller audience is easier than ever and with A.I tools it’ll probably get even more easier.

    Its a bit similar to video games and live services, with competition for players attention getting more fierce by the day.

    • thedrivingcrooner@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      What I keep wondering about is what if Reddit changes their app to be like Apollo or RiF? Will they get desperate and self aware enough to give people what they want? Is this and other apps doing copy-cat reddit doing this because we want to force change? I wonder which way the future will take this race?