• hark@lemmy.world
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    4 days ago

    I look forward to when CXMT scales up and provides cheap memory. The memory cartel will cry about unfair competition, just like when Japan was kicking ass with memory in the 80s.

      • NotSteve_@lemmy.ca
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        8 days ago

        Would they actually be able to afford it? Investors have been throwing endless amounts of money onto the fire but in OpenAI’s case at least, it was all essentially bought like “I’ll pay you later, trust me”, right?

        I’d assume convincing companies twice that you’re trustworthy enough to buy the world’s supply of RAM with an IOU wouldn’t be possible but I guess I thought the same thing for the first time as well

        edit: either way, I’d take a longer period of expensive RAM if it meant a giant “fuck you” to the AI companies

      • Not_mikey@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        8 days ago

        Also if the AI bubble does pop and they have to liquidate all these data centers, that’s less stuff for us to buy on the fire sale

    • FauxLiving@lemmy.world
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      8 days ago

      They’re really not though.

      (Obviously, don’t do crimes.) That being said, a warehouse full of toilet paper is flammable… a warehouse full of aluminum racks and silicon isn’t.

      In addition, their fire suppression systems don’t use water and so any fire that you did manage to create would be suppressed without affecting operation.

  • FlashMobOfOne@lemmy.world
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    8 days ago

    And now the press are calling us ‘device hoarders’ for taking good care of our shit and not wanting to upgrade to new devices too.

    • pdxfed@lemmy.world
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      8 days ago

      enforcement of existing consumer protection and anti-monopoly laws would do wonders(or tax, wage and hour, vehicle and many others). We actually have some pretty decent laws, they have either been deliberately underfunded, avoided per lobby or overruled by appointed activist judges.

      Pretty much the only way out is fire and force it seems, as history shows.

    • CosmoNova@lemmy.world
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      8 days ago

      I do but it doesn‘t matter much because the US Empire holds all the cards here.

  • musket528@sopuli.xyz
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    8 days ago

    i’m convinced corporations want us all to soon be using shitty computers like Chromebooks running everything in the cloud.

    • modus@lemmy.world
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      8 days ago

      You’re absolutely correct. They want their app on your devices and they want you permanently signed into whatever bullshit service they’re promoting.

      • CosmoNova@lemmy.world
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        8 days ago

        It‘s funny. The people who betted against the housing bubble knew 2006 would be the year where none of this was sustainable anymore. The bubble burst in 2008 and they had to take several loans to finance their bet. Despite it being obvious to us now and a few insiders back then, that bet was highly risky because you never know who might help the market go down a self destructive path for how long. Even when everyone already knows it‘s a bubble they might spend a $trillion more just to keep up the illusion. The government will bail them out anyway, right? So why not take the entire economy down with them?

        • CovfefeKills@lemmy.world
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          8 days ago

          Define bubble in this context and lets see if it still applies to something that has persisted despite overwhelming claims it is a bubble about to pop.

          Truly at this point it just seems calling the AI industry a bubble is trying to be mean rather than making an observation. You aren’t going to hurt an industries feelings you should instead be factual.

          Bubbles pop, this is something else. Feel free to be self righteous but if you are just regurgitating something you think is insulting and because you want it to be true you are a fuckwit.

          • hark@lemmy.world
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            4 days ago

            Chatgpt came out in late 2022. Are you arguing that because the AI bubble didn’t pop yet that it’s not a bubble? The internet persisted but that doesn’t mean the dot-com boom wasn’t a bubble.

            • CovfefeKills@lemmy.world
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              4 days ago

              Yep. Comparing this to the dotcom bubble is just foolish they are not the same. You are going to have to back it up with some facts please fuck off with your opinions.

    • Riskable@programming.dev
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      8 days ago

      I’ve been researching this a bit… I’ve come to the conclusion that there is no AI bubble. In fact, we’re only just getting started down this road. Unless there’s some massive 100x efficiency breakthrough in training AI and inference, the entire world is going to be building seemingly endless AI data centers (and the normal compute kind, e.g. for stuff like AWS, Google/YouTube, Meta, banks) for at least a decade. Probably a little longer (12-15 years before demand levels out).

      Everyone thinks that “AI data center” means ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, etc but there’s 10,000x more demand for AI than those services. Think: Pharmaceutical companies trying to find proteins, scientists (and big agriculture!) trying to model the weather, and other businesses trying to automate stuff. Not just software; robots and things like conveyor belts.

      Another example: Ever use one of those self-checkouts that’s mostly just a camera pointing down, where you place the stuff you’re purchasing? That uses AI too.

      Having said that, there is a great big bubble in AI: OpenAI, specifically. That will definitely pop one day. And hopefully, the DRAM bullshit will go along with it.

      • FauxLiving@lemmy.world
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        8 days ago

        Yeah, the LLM and picture generation bubble will burst but that isn’t ‘AI’, it’s a tiny subset of tasks that happen to be easy to train because the companies involved have helped themselves to all of the text and images created by humanity.

        The other uses of AI are harder to train, because we don’t have centuries worth of robotic motion data or a YouTube of folded protein data. Those are the uses that will have the most impact in the future, as they are developed.

        LLMs are a bubble, AI is not.

      • Grass@sh.itjust.works
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        8 days ago

        I agree with it not being all chatgpt type, but considering that even nvidia was hyping it up as war tech I think this is a bit of wishful thinking.

      • girsaysdoom@sh.itjust.works
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        8 days ago

        The types of AI you mention at the start of your comment has been around for years and isn’t exactly the problem we’re facing as far as I have researched. The AI bubble is a result of the hype around transformer-based generative AI and not so much about AI itself. Neither datacenters nor AI are a new thing and up until 2020 they weren’t as much as a problem as they are today due to the hype and increasing demands by these large models.

        The problem is literally a scaling issue for generative AI and those that decide to build new datacenters just for this usage are ignorant to the environmental and socioeconomic issues as being the limiters that they should be.

  • pressanykeynow@lemmy.world
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    8 days ago

    Pretty sure that shortage would be indefinite. Same for consumer GPUs. Maybe some other tech shortages will appear.

    • gokayburuc@lemmy.world
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      8 days ago

      The new shortage crisis will be in the energy sector.They will want to conserve energy resources and will therefore implement daily planned power outages. They will then transfer this saved energy to AI-like technology companies and the military.

  • robocall@lemmy.world
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    8 days ago

    Is the RAM shortage a problem worldwide or are there countries that have laws to prevent this/have enough RAM?

  • BlackLaZoR@lemmy.world
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    7 days ago

    I think this is overly pessimistic as CXMT is scaling up DRAM production. They don’t do HBM but that’s irrelevant to regular consumer

    Edit: they do HBM. Still they contribute to the supply of all DRAM modules