I think OpenAI knows that if GPT-5 doesn’t knock it out of the park, then their shareholders won’t be happy, and people will start abandoning the company. And tbh, i’m not expecting miracles
over the time of chatgpt’s existence I’ve seen so many people hype it up like it’s the future and will change so much and after all this time it’s still just a chatbot
It’s actually insane that there are huge chunks of people expecting AGI anytime soon because of a CHATBOT. Just goes to show these people have 0 understanding of anything. AGI is more like 30+ years away minimum, Andrew Ng thinks 30-50 years. I would say 35-55 years.
At this rate, if people keep cheerfully piling into dead ends like LLMs and pretending they’re AI, we’ll never have AGI. The idea of throwing ever more compute at LLMs to create AGI is “expect nine women to make one baby in a month” levels of stupid.
But they’re also having to fight for more limited funding among a crowd of chatbot “researchers”. The funding agencies are enamored with LLMs right now.
I wouldn’t say LLMs are going away any time soon. 3 or 4 years ago I did the Sentdex youtube tutorial to build one from scratch to beat a flappy bird game. They are really impressive when you look at the underlying math. And the math isn’t precise enough to be reliable for anything more than entertainment. Claiming it’s AI, much less AGI is just marketing bullshit, tho.
I’m not sure what is these days but according to Merriam it’s the capability of computer systems or algorithms to imitate intelligent human behavior. So it’s debatable.
Tbh i think it’s a real possibility that OpenAI knows they can’t meet people’s expectations with GPT-5 , so they’re posting articles like this, and basically trying to throw out anything they can and see what sticks.
I think if GPT-5 doesn’t pan out, it’s time to accept that things have slowed down, and that the hype cycle is over. This very well could mean another AI winter
I think OpenAI knows that if GPT-5 doesn’t knock it out of the park, then their shareholders won’t be happy, and people will start abandoning the company. And tbh, i’m not expecting miracles
over the time of chatgpt’s existence I’ve seen so many people hype it up like it’s the future and will change so much and after all this time it’s still just a chatbot
Exactly lol, it’s basically just a better cleverbot
SmarterChild ‘24
It’s actually insane that there are huge chunks of people expecting AGI anytime soon because of a CHATBOT. Just goes to show these people have 0 understanding of anything. AGI is more like 30+ years away minimum, Andrew Ng thinks 30-50 years. I would say 35-55 years.
At this rate, if people keep cheerfully piling into dead ends like LLMs and pretending they’re AI, we’ll never have AGI. The idea of throwing ever more compute at LLMs to create AGI is “expect nine women to make one baby in a month” levels of stupid.
People who are pushing the boundaries are not making chat apps for gpt4.
They are privately continuing research, like they always were.
But they’re also having to fight for more limited funding among a crowd of chatbot “researchers”. The funding agencies are enamored with LLMs right now.
In my experience that’s not the case. These teams are not very public but are very well funded.
https://machinelearning.apple.com/research/massively-multimodal
Thanks, Buster. It’s reassuring to hear that.
I wouldn’t say LLMs are going away any time soon. 3 or 4 years ago I did the Sentdex youtube tutorial to build one from scratch to beat a flappy bird game. They are really impressive when you look at the underlying math. And the math isn’t precise enough to be reliable for anything more than entertainment. Claiming it’s AI, much less AGI is just marketing bullshit, tho.
You’re saying you think LLMs are not AI?
I’m not sure what is these days but according to Merriam it’s the capability of computer systems or algorithms to imitate intelligent human behavior. So it’s debatable.
I’m thinking 36-56 years
AGI coming tomorrow! (tomorrow never comes)
AGI is the new Nuclear Fusion. It will always be 30 years away.
All they had to do was make BonzaiBuddy link up with ChatGPT
Tbh i think it’s a real possibility that OpenAI knows they can’t meet people’s expectations with GPT-5 , so they’re posting articles like this, and basically trying to throw out anything they can and see what sticks.
I think if GPT-5 doesn’t pan out, it’s time to accept that things have slowed down, and that the hype cycle is over. This very well could mean another AI winter
We can only hope
Really? I use it constantly
I’d be shorting the hell out of OpenAI and Nvidia if I had a good feel for the timeline. Who knows how long it’ll take for the bubble to actually pop.