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Cake day: June 16th, 2023

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  • The Venezuelan government could likely consider this to be an act of war based on international law. The question right now is if it wants to.

    Technically, Trump performed this attack without declaring war and his war powers without a Congressional declaration. Per American law, the USA isn’t at war with Venezuela. If Venezuela declares that this is an act of war, it gives Trump a better pretense to get war declared on Venezuela. It also vastly changes how neutral powers can treat both countries during the war.

    Countries have fought wars without declaring wars before. The military action surrounding the invasion of the Falklands was done without either nation officially declaring war.


  • Not from a moral but a practical matter:

    • Iraq had engaged in two wars of conquest against its neighbors in the last few decades. So you had more regional support for the invasion than for current regional support for the invasion of Venezuela. Turkey did refuse to use its country as a staging ground to invade Iraq, but several Persian Gulf states hosted coalition troops.

    • The USA attempted to make its case diplomatically before invading. Sure, the case for the invasion of Iraq was built on lies, but at least a case was being made diplomatically. Also, the USA was citing UN resolutions as a justification for war even if it was incorrectly doing so; that hasn’t happened in the taking of Maduro.

    • There was a coalition of the willing that was invading Iraq, not a solitary country. The USA wasn’t going alone and was apply to rely on multiple countries approving this action even if it didn’t have UN approval.

    • Bush wasn’t threatening to invade several allies before invading Iraq. While there was dubious legality to the invasion of Afghanistan as it was a non-state actor which attacked the USA, the USA was at least and to cite self defense in is invasion.

    • The world’s opinion of the USA was a lot higher at the time.



  • I wouldn’t be happy about it.

    Edit: I’ve been introduced to the concept early in my life that my life can end unnaturally. I’ve also experienced enough to know that there are cases where extended life isn’t worth it and choosing to die is the preferable option.

    Right now, I’m not there. I’ve also had to deal with something potentially fatal and I’ve been mostly emotionally able to handle it because there was a path forward to a healthy life.

    If that was to change, I would likely spend my savings enjoying my life before either looking myself or letting whatever sickness take my life without medical intervention.

    I expect the hardest part of that decision will be to tell my family because they don’t have the same viewpoint.





  • Moving the capital is a major logistical hurdle in peace or war.

    In war, it is usually a bad sign if a government has to abandon the capital. The only cases I can think of where a government had to abandon the capital but ended up winning the war was the United States in the War of 1812 and Mexico during the French installation of a Mexican king, both cases where the war ended in part because the war became too costly to the occupier and the occupied could trade massive amounts of land, someone Venezuela can’t really do.

    In peace, there is a massive amount of infrastructure that needs to be built to support the administration of a government. Germany chose to keep several government agencies in Bonn during unification given the large number of government buildings available. South Korea’s attempt to move the capital to Sejong has been slow and has only moved some ministries. Indonesia and Egypt are having issues funding their relocation attempts. Venezuela, in contrast, is fucking broke.