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Cake day: 2023年6月16日

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  • I also feel like the problem with starting with Marx and getting into socialism as a government type is that Marx was an economist writing about economic forces while a lot of his work has been coopted into political theory.

    Which makes discussions on government structure hard with a lot of leftists because once you remove discussing the economics of a society, having a discussion on political freedoms only becomes very problematic.

    For instance, I saw some English speaking communists discussing a Chinese analysis of their government, which the analysis states that the Chinese government isn’t a democracy. It is true, China would describe itself as a technocracy, with trained political leaders in charge who are shielded from disruptive democratic whims. However, you could see the issue of them accepting that political power should be held only by elites.


  • Messy urban warfare.

    Assuming cooperation with the Mexican government, the USA would likely launch several raids against cartel strongholds similar to the Maduro raid. Whether the cartel leaders are brought to justice or just immediately assassinated is up for grabs, but I expect several extrajudicial killings.

    The situation will devolve as the power vacuum causes additional killings including some punishing of the Mexican federal government. This destabilization is likely going to require an occupation; I expect that the USA would want Mexico to fill those posts first but may get pulled in as the Mexican military runs out of logistical capacity and the US military has to start filling in more and more gaps.

    At a point, the war against the cartels becomes viewed as an American occupation instead of an internal Mexican action and it causes the population to turn against both federal governments.