The U.S. Navy has refused near-daily requests from the shipping industry for military escorts through the Strait of Hormuz since the start of the war on Iran, saying the risk of attacks is too high for now, according to sources familiar with the matter.

The ‌Navy’s assessments spell continued disruption to Middle East oil exports and reflect a divergence from Donald Trump’s statements that the U.S. is prepared to provide naval escorts whenever needed to restart regular shipments along the key waterway.

Shipping along the narrow strait has all but halted since the start of the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran more than a week ago, preventing exports of around a fifth of the world’s oil supply and sending global oil prices surging to highs not seen since 2022.

  • Hemingways_Shotgun@lemmy.ca
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    2 days ago

    “Risk of attack is too great…”

    Ah…so the US Navy operates off the same playbook as the Uvalde police department, I see.

    Like Bitch, you’re a warship. It’s literally your job to put yourself at risk during a conflict.

    • cynar@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      Modern warships basically gave up on heavy armour. Instead they use manoeuvrability and suppressive fire. They are also intended to support each other in a fleet. A single warship, running close escort, loses all these advantages. It can’t outmanoeuvre an attack, and it lacks the firepower to suppress a heavy attack on its own. Iran would make a point to try and sink both the escort ship and its protected cargo ship.

      In order to work, the American navy would have to run a full convoy. A far bigger logistical challenge.

      • CADmonkey@lemmy.world
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        2 days ago

        I have a feeling that there is or will be a water-borne version of a shahed drone. Something small and cheap and mobile vs big expensive high tech ships.

        • cynar@lemmy.world
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          2 days ago

          I suspect it wouldn’t be anywhere near as effective. Torpedoes fill that roll already (at least mostly).

          A shahed drone carrying a modified torpedo could be terrifying however. The drone gets into range quickly. The torpedo makes final approach. It would also be a lot quicker for Iran to develop and deploy.

  • manxu@piefed.social
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    2 days ago

    It starts feeling like Trump vibe-coded his Presidency. Stuff happens because it sounds good in the LLM’s mind, but of course it has no idea of the knock-on effects and all hell breaks loose.

  • VitoRobles@lemmy.today
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    2 days ago

    I like to remind people that the Vietnam war with America and the Ukraine war with Russians are examples where the outside forces did not want to be there.

    And the result has been the same: a bunch of dead outsiders who were either killed by war with the locals, or fragged by their own troops.

  • Rhaedas@fedia.io
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    2 days ago

    Can’t risk sending military equipment into places where it might be attacked.

    Can’t make this up.

    • bassomitron@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      I view this as Naval commanders looking out for their personnel. Why would they risk escorting commercial activities if they’re not directly ordered to? That isn’t their primary mission/objective. The war is completely stupid and the vast majority of people do not want to be involved, but the US and Israeli billionaires are insisting to poke the hornets nest. That doesn’t mean commanders on the ground/water want to put their lives on the line for what’s an obvious bullshit conflict designed to enrich said billionaires.

      • humanspiral@lemmy.ca
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        2 days ago

        There’s good reason navy has moved far away from Iran. They’ve struck targets accurately far further than the 10km off their coast that is the Straits. Likely more Americans killed than reported in GCC. The Navy is refusing not only because it is a certain suicide mission that fails, but also because of the extreme embarrassment risk of that certain failure.

      • Akh@lemmy.world
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        2 days ago

        The US is not a 2020 fighting force, it is an 1980’s fighting force based on nostalgia, which is why it lost iraq and Afganistan. It is why it is not ready to lose a 3 billion dollar aircraft carrier to a $5,000 drone

    • carpelbridgesyndrome@sh.itjust.works
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      2 days ago

      The escorts would need to use interceptors to defend the cargo ships. No matter what they do it would be expensive.

      As for the ship shortage Trump just cancelled most of the replacement ships that were under design. Oops