• Voroxpete@sh.itjust.works
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    1 month ago

    For the people who didn’t read the article - apparently everyone in this thread - the reason for the postponement is not Trump’s comments, despite how the headline makes it sound.

    Iran are smart enough to let Trump mouth off. What killed the talks is that Israel killed a bunch more people in Lebanon today.

    This was inevitable. Iran wants a muzzled Israel as a condition of the war ending. Israel doesn’t want the war to end with anything less than the total destruction of Iran (they certainly don’t want a capitulation that actually leaves Iran stronger). So Israel are going to deliberately break the ceasefire until one of three things happens;

    1. Iran stops calling them on it (there is zero evidence that this will happen).
    2. Trump gives up on peace and commits to a full scale invasion.
    3. Trump finds a way to make Israel do what he tells them.

    As I’ve noted elsewhere, this war isn’t remotely close to over. US vs Iran was the pre-show. Defeating AIPAC’s iron grip on US politics is the main event.

      • Voroxpete@sh.itjust.works
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        1 month ago

        Annoyingly, it’s technically accurate, but extremely misleading.

        If I say my friend died after eating at Arby’s, while neglecting to mention the part where he went to a bar, got stinking drunk and wrapped his car around a tree, the entire statement is technically true. Those events did happen, in that order. He certainly didn’t die before eating at Arby’s. But there’s an implied cause and effect that has nothing to do with the reality.

        • Waraugh@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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          1 month ago

          The fortune teller gave me some grim news, she said that I’m going to die after eating at Arby’s 8(. I haven’t been to one in decades but now I’ll never go back for sure.

              • Sludge@sh.itjust.works
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                1 month ago

                Probably, the unfortunate part is that you’re going to die now that you’ve posted a comment referring to Arby’s on Lemmy

      • Voroxpete@sh.itjust.works
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        1 month ago

        That doesn’t solve the strait, and the US is about a month away from having too little crude oil to actually run their refineries (you have to maintain a certain pressure level in the pipes or the whole system stops). We haven’t seen the real oil crisis yet. The real oil crisis is 10x gas prices, rationing, grounded planes… It would be cataclysmic.

        Trump has to pick an option here. If declaring victory and walking away was possible he would have done it already.

    • 87Six@lemmy.zip
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      1 month ago

      Trump finds a way to make Israel do what he tells them.

      Does he realize he could just bomb israel instead? Is he stupid?