I’m not understanding something. Why is there a timer on the event and why does a timer increase the probability as time runs out? Wouldn’t it be the opposite because there are less chances for it to happen as time runs out?
statistics are statistics
I should have clarified thisin the post; i had electric cars andscooters(record breaking sales where i live) in mind when i originally had the thought
Since the set of all remaining time only shrinks, the possibility of anything ever happening at least once in all time should also shrink unless it already happened.
And things happening at a rate per second doesn’t mean it increases either if it hasn’t happened yet. The probability of me being eaten by a dinosaur today is definitely not higher compared to being eaten by a dinosaur yesterday.
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If you’re a fallacious gambler, maybe.
The probability of rolling a six is 1/6 no matter what numbers were rolled previously. Unless I’m misunderstanding your point
Unless you start adding extra mass to one side, ie adding more things to your life that this could happen to.
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We are discussing independent probabilistic events, at least that was my understanding. Dice are just a nice intuitive example.
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I’m not understanding something. Why is there a timer on the event and why does a timer increase the probability as time runs out? Wouldn’t it be the opposite because there are less chances for it to happen as time runs out?
statistics are statistics
I should have clarified this in the post; i had electric cars and scooters(record breaking sales where i live) in mind when i originally had the thoughtLike bamboo said; electric scooters aren’t digital
Since the set of all remaining time only shrinks, the possibility of anything ever happening at least once in all time should also shrink unless it already happened.
And things happening at a rate per second doesn’t mean it increases either if it hasn’t happened yet. The probability of me being eaten by a dinosaur today is definitely not higher compared to being eaten by a dinosaur yesterday.
Removed by mod