• krayj@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    It would be an inconceivably-massive statistical anomaly if they didn’t. But I think a better question is will we ever make contact, and I think the answer to that is that it’s inconceivably improbable.

    • LanyrdSkynrd@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      I’m not convinced statistics can be used like this on big questions where we know so little. Just because we believe the universe to be massively large and ever expanding doesn’t satisfy the basic premise that underlies the assumption that there is so much stuff that some of the stuff must be alive. I don’t think we know enough about the universe to make the assumption that because it is so big, it must be infinitely variable.

      But what do I know, I’m just some idiot on the internet.

      • krayj@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        It’s really moot anyway, imo. Because of the vastness of the universe, the distances involved, and the timeframes involved for traveling those distances and that vastness, the rest of the universe could be teeming with alien life and we’ll likely never know it. Not in our lifetimes.

      • SpacetimeMachine@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        We absolutely can use statistics like that because we already know that the variables for life to exist MUST exist because we do. There are 100 billion planets in our galaxy, and 200 billion galaxies out there. The chance that our planet is the ONLY one that had the conditions for life to form would be infinitesimally small.

  • iliketurtles@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Yes. Will humans ever meet them? Probably not. The universe is a big place. Even if a civilization could travel the speed of light it would take them 200,000 years to cross just the milky way. Also, who is to say most civilizations haven’t gone extinct or don’t exist yet?

  • TheFutureIsDelaware@sh.itjust.works
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    1 year ago

    Aliens very obviously exist. Life evolved on Earth. The idea that it has never done that elsewhere is ridiculous. The question is how spread out they are in both time and space. The fact that we see no clear evidence of them points to “very spread out”. But it could just be complex life, or intelligent life that is rare, which is why we look for much fainter signals that we’d only see when specifically looking, like with JWST. Either way, they exist. Whether that existence has any relevance to yours is up for debate.

    But they have definitely never visited Earth.

    • pmw@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Life evolved on Earth. The idea that it has never done that elsewhere is ridiculous.

      I was going to question this, just because I think people often jump to conclusions based on the universe being very large, but as I did just a bit of research it does seem like nothing too unlikely happened to create Earth. You seem to need liquid water. Maybe that water is generated on the planet or maybe it’s delivered by impacts with icy meteorites or asteroids. We have yet to find another planet with liquid oceans, but it’s hard to imagine why it would be so unlikely for enough Earth-like planets to have sprung up to have a good chance of fostering life. The fact we haven’t found an ocean world would seem to speak more to the massive limitations of our knowledge of other planets. You need other things for life as well, but the same argument seems to follow, in that none of the requirements seem like they have a reason to be that rare. But as limited as our science is, and as limited as my understanding of the science is, I have to admit I really do not know what to think. I don’t think our statistical intuitions are useful when thinking about probabilities of planetary or astronomical phenomena.

      • TheFutureIsDelaware@sh.itjust.works
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        1 year ago

        Yes, it seems pretty untenable that rare earth is the explanation for the lack of evidence of any life outside of Earth. But even if it is true that we’re the only life in the observable universe, the universe is still much bigger, and in many physicists opinion, probably infinite.

        The fact that life seems to have evolved on Earth as soon as it was possible to is some evidence that abiogenesis is not the bottleneck. But the usefulness of this observation depends on the distribution of other things we don’t know. For example, if on planets where life evolves later, life never makes it to human-level intelligence before the planet becomes uninhabitable, then our early abiogenesis is survivorship bias, rather than something we should expect to be in the center of the distribution of when abiogenesis happens on a planet where it is possible.

      • TheFutureIsDelaware@sh.itjust.works
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        1 year ago

        No they don’t. And you genuinely do not understand the gulf that evidence would have to overcome for aliens to be more likely than literally any other explanation for any phenomena you’re talking about. Including explanations that require extremely unlikely coincidences. Because coincidences happen. But if aliens have visited Earth, that requires an unbelievable amount of observations about the universe to be explained. And truly, the evidence to overcome that would be MORE than a good video. And we don’t even fucking have that. It’s pathetic how people act about UFOs and aliens.

        The fact that it’s always bad evidence, or indirect evidence, should tell you that it’s always the same bullshit. If you believe it, it’s because you want to, not because there’s the tiniest reason to.

    • bobs_monkey@lemm.ee
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      1 year ago

      I like to think they cruise by every now and again, take a few to see what we’re up to, then immediately nope the fuck out

      • TheSpermWhale@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Teasers are usually rich kids with nothing to do. They cruise around looking for planets that haven’t made interstellar contact yet and buzz them.” “Buzz them?” Arthur began to feel that Ford was enjoying making life difficult for him. “Yeah,” said Ford, “they buzz them. They find some isolated spot with very few people around, then land right by some poor unsuspecting soul whom no one’s ever going to believe and then strut up and down in front of him wearing silly antennas on their head and making beep beep noises.

  • Nine@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Abso-fucking-lutely. There’s almost no reason there wouldn’t be any.

    Are we likely to meet them? no.

    If we did meet them now the best case is a childhood’s end situation.

    That being said it’s likely we might find something on Europa or Titan if we’re correct about those moons. But that’s a long shot at best.

  • johndroid@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    The Universe is a big place, so it almost certain.

    But so far we don’t have compelling enough evidence to verify this.

  • Fondots@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    I am fairly confident that alien life in some form exists somewhere in this universe. It may only be some colony of bacteria-like cells on some rock on the total opposite side of the universe that we’ll never be able to even detect let alone see with our own eyes, but I’m confident that something somewhere out there will meet some definition of life.

    Moving up the scale, I get less and less confident. Simple multicellular life- still pretty likely. Complex plant/animal/fungus-like life- not very likely. Intelligent life that we can in some way make meaningful contact with- very extremely unlikely.

  • Mando@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Do I think think that alien intelligent life exists? Yes, the universe in unimaginably huge, more than likely that we are not the only ones. Do I believe those that say they had encounters? lol, nope

  • radiated@lemm.ee
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    1 year ago

    In my opinion, a definite yes. The only issue is that the Universe is so mind bogglingly huge that the statistical probability of finding one is very low.

  • reliv3@lemmy.ml
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    1 year ago

    Consider the flipped version of the same question: “Was Earth the only planet in the universe that was able to conceive life?”

    If the answer to this question is “Yes”, then our universe would not be fit for life, and we wouldn’t exist either.