When it comes down to it, this is a hell of a deal for the US. We spend a tiny fraction of our military budget to de-fang Putin and don’t have to fire a single shot ourselves.
Better than defanging is real world testing.
What worked as expected, what didn’t, how we can make it better etc.
It’s not often you get to deploy these weapons.
What will happen to the US defense budget now that we know it’s unnecessary?
That was rhetorical by the way, I know it’s going to increase.
still necessary. russia isn’t the only potential adversary out there
Short of deciding we suddenly don’t need a navy, there’s not as much space as one might think for cutting ‘fat’ from the budget. Even the Obama-era proposal for shrinking the budget still came out to 500 billion, and that was with cuts to the bone - and 10 years of inflation to adjust for.
Watch the Ukranian drone ops teams taking contracts after this is all done. The Winged Hussars ride again! 🤘🏼💀
There was an article a few days ago about how the soldiers stopped following some of their western training as it wasn’t working / appropriate for their situation.
I imagine there will also be some cross training where they update the American soldiers on what worked and didn’t work and why.
From what I heard that seemed to be mainly two factors where the situations were different than most conflicts the Western forces have been in in a good while.
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Lack of air support. The air is still contested over Ukraine.
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Minefields everywhere
- No offense Germany, but you gotta fix your military.
A lot of the Ukrainians complaining about poor training / equipment are the ones getting German gear it seems. That’s… okay. Some training is better than none, and Germany is sending good tanks / equipment after all. But Germany definitely is underperforming IMO given its economic level of output and overall strength of the country.
I mean, we kinda made sure of that, as a general collective global community? Considering, you know, “last time”? 😅😬
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I’m not sure just how much the US spends on weapon testing, but I imagine it’s a bonkers number. And now they get an opportunity to test in a real environment, with some other country’s army to do much of the heavy lifting?
I do software dev and testing stuff is expensive. Real world testing is a particularly difficult and pricey thing to do. It’s not easy to simulate realistic usage and it’s super common to discover all sorts of issues only when something is used outside of controlled conditions. That’s why so many web products get the hug of death. It’s why Lemmy has had so many problems not just with scaling, but things like UX. It’s so easy to not realize even “obvious” problems when you don’t have a large number of real users.
Real world testing is a particularly difficult and pricey thing to do
I don’t often test, but when I do, it’s in prod.
Bonkers is right, and you’re absolutely correct. Another factor to the real world tests is the human experience. A soldier who’s fired real rounds downrange will be that little bit more quick and calm the next time shit hits the fan. Ivan keeps bashing his face against our dusty old armor systems and all they’re doing is feeding the sunflowers and seasoning Ukrainian grunts for battle. Once they start fielding all NATO munitions it’s gonna get real ugly for the Kremlin.
Well and its old equipment not stuff coming right off the line which would have to be decommissioned at cost at eol.
Not that im against defanging putin, but then the next one will come and the next one and the next one. Are there even russians that are not pro war?
Maybe you are being genuine so I’ll try to be too, you’re wrong to fear what comes next. Historically new leaders don’t in totalitarian states don’t want an external war, they want to secure their lot, make sure they are protected, shore up support.
Children are being kidnapped, prisoners of war ar being tortured, civilians raped, towns and cities cut off from water or flooded, left to freeze over winter. What exactly do you think is coming next? Someone with more efficiency? Less morals? Thanos?
I was being genuine, sorry if it sounded rude.
I guess with all the shit happening in the world, i feel… hopeless
Fair enough, “the devil you know” argument is flawed and is oft thrown around by the apathetic.
Your feelings are justified but generally speaking things are trending upwards, progress marches on
there are but most of them left the country
Those who could left, not those who didn’t support. Majority of people who are against invasion don’t have money to leave.
Let’s see… From top of my head: Boris Nemtsov, Alexey Navalny, Ekaterina Shulman, entire Anti-Corruption Foundation and more than half of alive Russian soldiers(counting dead soldiers more than 2/3).
“This is not war of Russia and Ukraine. I an against such definition. This is Putin’s war.”
- Boris Nemtsov, before he was shot on bridge near Kremlin wall
P.s. funny story about soldiers. Some idiots(thank you, idiots!) from Omsk decided to open voting station near front line for governor and regional parlament. Since soldiers officially don’t have internet, there was no Remote Electronic Voting(ДЭГ) and 100% voted with paper. And since paint protocols and stuff boxes is scary in front of armed men, it wasn’t done at usual scale. In result hard-core pro-war United Russia governor candidate got less than 50% and I think even lost on those stations.
It doesn’t really matter if you’re pro-war if you no longer have a standing army. At that point, it’s just wishful thinking.
Unfortunately, the target audience also wear shirts which say “I’d rather be Russian than democrat”
They may take it as an attack against themselves.
They should go sign up to fight on the Russian front lines then
Nah, it’s easier for them to sit on their fatasses and do the bare minimum of movement while they tout their shitty flags and shirts about in their traitorous stances. They’re the same people that wouldn’t even sign up to be in the US Army, but will swear up and down about “IF I WAS THERE…” stories of power fantasies.
What TV channel is that on?
Da comrade we have comprehensive sign up bonus (is one small potato and 25 ruble)
Some do.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russell_Bentley
(Of course his nickname is ‘texas’)
There are many thousands of foreign volunteer fighters on either side of this.
This guy is a special kind of dumb, though.
Who am I to stop him from his Darwin Award? ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Are you on the Ukrainian front lines?
Are you, contrarian? You seem loud and dumb enough. 🤷🏼♂️
No, because I don’t have a strong opinion about the war either way. I was just curious about the logical consistency of that user. I wasn’t asking about you, but so far I’ve learned that you are quick to upset and like to jump to conclusions.
Aw, you’re adorable when you project. Keep it up, and don’t forget to maintain eye contact. Putin likes that.
There you are proving me correct by being quick to upset and jumping to conclusions again. By the way, how do you know putin’s sexual preferences?
What a low-effort bot. 🤣
But if you can reframe Ukraine as sticking it to those democrats who don’t like military, they might be on board.
The target audience are independents and the few sane (but denialist) Republicans left. I think the ad’s goal is to drive them away from the republican party.
It’s also a social media only ad.
It is fucking golden considering they used to say “rather be dead than red”. I swear to god you can’t make this shit up.
Unfortunately, the target audience also wear shirts which say “I’d rather be Russian than democrat”
You can tell them “take your conscription”
Whatever happened to “Better dead than red”?
Liberty Prime needs to make a comeback.
Wtf are you talking about? Republicans hate Russia
The current leader of the Republican party called the invasion “genius” and “savvy”. But there’s always such a divide between a party and its constituents, don’t you find?
Queue the, “I like him because he tells it like it is” people saying, “no, he was just joking”.
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That’s so 7 years ago.
Times have changed my friend
Lol not since Trump they haven’t.
We need an attack ad: “Why are some republicans afraid of russia?”
They are not afraid of Russia they are enthralled by Russia. They serve Putin because they are indebted to him.
I’d like to know how all of this came about!
Republican politicans are corrupt fucks.
Russia saw Republicans could be bought.
Republicans saw their voter base is dumb as bricks and they could safely take Russian money and go against American interests as long as they hide behind culture wars.
Russia 🤝 Republicans
I hope it works, but I have so little faith in Republican voters anymore.
Actually I think this is one of the keys to freeing the minority of the country that insists on being stupid as shit. They love trump but loyalty to the military runs far deeper. Find me a right leaning fuck who doesn’t at least pay lip service to the military. Of course they don’t actually support them, but it’s a potent motivator that they at least feel like they’re doing so.
So not unlike when you have to work certain angles to get a toddler to take a bath or go to bed, so must steps be taken to try and pry these people out of their death cult spiral. The alternative is to likely be dragged down with them.
They love trump but loyalty to the military runs far deeper.
Does it, though
They think the military is woke now. The only loyalty is to trump. Everything else peripheral
Keep reading their comment – they address that point nicely, I thought.
I think if you would have kept reading I further clarified.
Does this include giving them old equipment which they’d have to dispose of anyway? Because that’s not exactly “spending”. Some even say that it saves money because they have no disposal cost.
Hopefully Ukraine keeps “disposing” all of our ammunition in the general direction of the invaders.
Don’t forget that the old gear has to be replaced. That’s good American jobs right there.
It was going to be replaced regardless of Ukraine, that’s the point. It was to be junked anyway.
I’m pretty sure the Abrams is made in Kentucky. Another big reason Moscow Mitch is on board with sending aid.
I forgot about that name. It suits that frozen mummy.
Work smart, not hard. That’s still a winning argument for me
Cluster shells
Thats assuming the republicans and tankies WANT Putin’s army destroyed. To them, this sounds like what a normal person would hear if we said: “We’ve used 5% of our defense budget to arm the IRA and 50% of Britain’s army has been destroyed.”
Now hold on, is funding the IRA on the table?
Yes, but only $6,500 per person, and it is only tax deductible if you don’t give it to a guy named Roth.
Roth is a true homie, you take that back! His tax deductibleness is way better in the long run in most circumstances.
The IRA deal sounds nice, can we add that to the budget?
It’s only Republican politicians who are in love with Russia. Everyone else still hates them due to Cold War propaganda.
Plenty of leftist-Tankies here on Lemmy’s federation where I’ve had to explain that yes, Russia is a problem and what they’re doing to Ukraine should be stopped.
The left is doing a good job preventing the Tankies from taking over their party however. Republicans are letting the far-right dictate politics and are likely going to (try to) cut Ukraine out of the budget this week. So the far-right is a bigger problem, if only because Republicans are failing to rise up and counter the threat from their own party.
No, Republicans are in love with Putin. Putin hates Russia, Republican do the same.
I fucking hate computer generated voices, the cadence is always fucking weird. This one is far too fast, and the pause between words is too short.
It’s just weird.
I haven’t watched it yet. Guessing it’s the one male voice used on all those TikToks that I can’t stand.
Update: it wasn’t but it was damn close.
Since i work in media i can tell you with 99.9% certainty that’s not an AI-generated voice. It’s just cut a bit too tightly and the super low quality of the audio track doesn’t help either.
Give em 20%
If you could reason with them they wouldn’t be republicans.
We should stop trying to convince them with logic, and start paying off the far right talking heads to change their talking points. If fox and newsmax pundits, and the shitty far right members of congress (like bimbobert and MTG and minor-lover matt gaetz) did an about face overnight, so would the entire republican base.
Republicans are really beyond trying to logic, reason with and even barter with. It’s their way or the highway, all of the time, about anything.
Give them an inch, they want miles. Give them something, they’ll want everything.
“Meet me in the middle,” said the unjust man.
You take one step forward, he takes one step back.
“Meet me in the middle,” said the unjust man.
— A. R. Maxon
They don’t want money (which they already have anyway), they want power and control over others - which is why they project that onto Democrats.
So I can start warming up the tar and pluck some feathers now? /s
This is mostly true but in politics you constantly deal in partial success . If 5 percent of the audience are swayed to not vote over voting GOP even that is worth it.
Nobody answered me. Is there PROOF of the 50% claim here?
How can I view non-biased information about the war?
wikipedia napkin math.
with 1.15 million and at least two million reserve personnel.~3.15 million personelle. ukraine hasnt killed that many; probably around 300k. their probably talking about the number of troops in ukraine. which is probably around 700k for the duration of the war. if you count just the 1.15mil is probably close to it now.
No proof, just rambles.
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There’s enormous amounts of anti-russian comments and Russia phobia on the English speaking parts of the internet to where unbiased information is extremely hard to find.
You should check out “red effect” on YouTube. He’s the closest thing I’ve found to being unbiased
EDIT: found OPs source lol https://vid.pr0gramm.com/2023/09/25/187e9f46663d04ee.mp4
Of course, YouTube, the ultimate source of unbiased and reliable information.
Those are your words not mine…
Did you know the video sharing website has users who are capable of stating external sources within the video and description?
Cite those sources then.
Lmao
Lmfao yeah get your advice from the worst fucking video platform out there, who’s notoriously had issues with fake news and conspiracy theory nutjobs.
Also please go look up what it means to be biased
Maybe then you’ll understand why being unbiased against a global threat is fundamentally impossible. You will always have a bias, the difference is being objective and following good media practices like using several, diversified resources that have minimal bias and thus provides a more comprehensive picture.
It’s similar to AI training, you want to retain the orthogonal items that are unique to preserve the best image
When you see “russophobia” are you really seeing disapproval of a dictatorship?
Or the closest thing you’ve found to your own bias?
You have no idea who I am or what my views are. You probably romanticise with the idea I’m a russia sympathiser but I hope vladdy the baddy is killed and also the war ends immediately. I’m just one of those people who can see the western bias for what it is, the circle jerk is cringe on both sides
There’s no such thing as unbiased. At best you’ll get considerate analysis. Even publications renowned for their lack of bias (Reuters for example) will have some bias in favour of things like free speech and freedom of the press, because ofc they do. That said, proper sources should both be professional, ethcial journalists and strive to be unbiased as much as possible. Also, FTR just because an article is critical of russia doesn’t mean it is biased. Information can be objectively bad. News that informs about say a mass murder spree is not (necessarily) pro-murder and there is very little one can objectively say is Good about russia unless you get into the realm of arguments like ‘Tyrants are better than anarchy’.
Do you know what happened to unbiased journalists in Russia? They go to jail. They do not exist in Russia.
Does anyone have a source about the Russian attrition rate? I can’t find one
They’re conservative about planes and attack helis but have enough. Money is good, oil good, cash reserves ok debt to GDP more than good. Workforce very big but affected
But still… They’re low on tanks, artillery shells, Combat experience, Air defence systems,
Russia as a whole is doing fine attrition wise but they’re equipment is being blown back 40 years. On top of that Ukrainians are doing very well and are cost effective. Russia spends multiple $ for every $ sent to Ukraine.
The decoys alone are costing Russia ~$1mil per, and they cost =/< $1k ea. Those are impressively effective numbers. 🤩🤘🏼
The Russians are liquidating the Soviet stockpile that was built while they were a global military superpower. They don’t have the capacity to rebuild that arsenal. Russia is being taken off the world stage as a military power for at least three decades.
Sanctions are hurting them so badly that they are importing weapons from China (small arms, armor), Iran (drones) & North Korea (shells).
No, it is result of corruption. If sanctions truly hurt military budget, then Putin could not afford to import.
They are low on shells, tanks and AA. Combat experience is more than anyone would want.
They die before getting any. Newly mobilised soldiers are a massive portion of their army now.
It’s worded in such a way as to be meaningless - half of what? The original number of Russian soldiers, the original number plus Wagner and other extra troops, the current number deployed with/without mercenaries? Plus Russia’s numbers don’t look like US numbers, don’t quite look like Ukraines numbers.
That said heres the first source I found:
Russia’s military casualties, the officials said, are approaching 300,000. The number includes as many as 120,000 deaths and 170,000 to 180,000 injured troops. The Russian numbers dwarf the Ukrainian figures, which the officials put at close to 70,000 killed and 100,000 to 120,000 wounded.
…
Russia has almost triple that number, with 1,330,000 active-duty, reserve and paramilitary troops — most of the latter from the Wagner Group.
Those numbers refer to the current number of deployed and undeployed Russian soldiers plus mercenaries, which is clearly not the numbers the ad is using.
To be clear, I fully support Ukraine and fully support the US guaranteeing missile manufacturers that we will buy new missiles even if the war ends tomorrow to incentivise greater production. I just think the ad played with the numbers until they said what we want them to say.
Source for both quotes: https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/18/us/politics/ukraine-russia-war-casualties.html
The over 1m stat is a bit of an exaggeration - the more accurate figure is closer to 750,000. See https://cepa.org/article/russias-military-manpower-crunch-will-worsen/
Charitably, 300,000 casualties would be ~40%. Of course it’s still very good value for military spending…
are approaching 300,000.
Sounds legit. Last batch of IDs for families with dead soldiers is slightly more than 300k.
Sorry about the other answer being vague. The actual numbers are military secrets and we’ll have to wait for a leak to actually know.
I doubt it will get their support seeing as they’re in bed together.
Is this an AI generated ad? It seems like they tried to fit as many talking points as possible.
They had to keep it to simple, short phrases for the Republicans
They also edited out any breath pauses from the narrator. I’ve heard that voice over many years of political ads. They may have modled a cg voice from a real person, or they edited the hell out of a genuine voice over.
Is there hard evidence on the 50% destroyed claim?
Considering they’ve resorted to lying to Cubans to hire them as mercenaries…probably.
Not only that, but it will take decades and a lot of money to get back to their original military strength.
It would have taken a decade and a lot of money just to achieve the strength we (and they) thought they were at before the war started.
