• BigFig@lemmy.worldOP
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    1 year ago

    This has been my main question these few days, the ever hyped and ‘perfect’ Iron Dome. And Mossad, an Intelligence agency considered one of the best in the world. Where did the failure happen?

    Don’t get me wrong. This attack was a tragedy. But what happened to the security infrastructure that Israel is so proud of

    • empireOfLove@lemmy.one
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      1 year ago

      But what happened to the security infrastructure that Israel is so proud of

      Sometimes things need to magically “fail” so leaders can get the war that they want, but can’t openly start.

      • Uranium3006@kbin.social
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        1 year ago

        The Israeli far right and Hamas are symbiotic, they justify each other’s rule and keep the other in power

        • r_wraith@discuss.tchncs.de
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          1 year ago

          That is just the thing. It was the same with GB and the IRA. Terrorist organization and the hard-line governments they oppose have a simbiotic relationship to their mutual benefit and the detriment of anybody else.

        • PupBiru@kbin.social
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          1 year ago

          the victims are israelis; the government of israel is a separate entity… heck, the people in charge in israel are separate entities again

        • empireOfLove@lemmy.one
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          1 year ago

          The only victims here are both the Israeli and Palestinian citizens, who have more accurately been gangbanged from both sides by the IDF and Hamas.

          Nice false equivalency and misinterpretation of my point.

    • Ghyste@sh.itjust.works
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      1 year ago

      The best educated, non conspiratorial guess I can offer is that the sheer number of projectiles overwhelmed the system.

      That’s accepting that the reports of thousands of rockets launched is accurate, mind you.

    • SkyezOpen@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      The dome is pretty great but hamas claims 5k missiles launched and other sources say at least 2k. There’s no way they’re going to intercept them all. As for the intelligence failure, who knows.

    • M500@lemmy.ml
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      1 year ago

      I don’t think it’s a conspiracy. It’s the first question my wife asked when I told her about it. Neither of us believe that this could have happened without Mossad knowing about it.

    • ComradeKhoumrag@infosec.pub
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      1 year ago

      I’m just gonna put a tinfoil hat on and guess some of the top secret documents Trump let Saudis / Iranians peruse had relevant Intel to these events

      But I’m just guessing

      • Evie @lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        I don’t think you need a tin foil hat, to believe that Trump compromised intelligence on many levels to many people he shouldn’t have…

    • TheProtagonist@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      I would say the agency dealing with homeland terrorism (I guess this is the way Israel looks at this) would rather be Shin Bet than Mossad.

  • Draedron@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    1 year ago

    Wasnt pearl harbor an attack on a military base? So a totally valid target for a war. This was an attack on civillians so the comparision is bad.

    • qdJzXuisAndVQb2@lemm.ee
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      1 year ago

      That’s not the point of the comparison. The point of similarity is that it was a significant blow that struck without the defenders anticipating it.

      • Evil_Shrubbery@lemm.ee
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        1 year ago

        I thought it was to go to war? Before that the US pubic was super anti-joining WWII (like 80+%), then all of a sudden, for the first and last time in history of logic, in the middle of a world conflict no less, they put all of their navy eggs in one lil basket & announced that very publicly to everyone.

        • it was actually done to prevent a war, as weird as it may sound.

          1. It was meant to intimidate the Japanese and prevent them from attacking the US. kind of a “look at us, we put our fleet closer to you, we are ready to fight you, so don’t even try to attack us!” move. didn’t really work out as planned though.
          2. It was also done to intimidate the Japanese into stopping committing their Atrocities in China.

          So no, it was most certainly not done to enter a war.

          • Evil_Shrubbery@lemm.ee
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            1 year ago

            I know what was the formal rhetoric, yet nobody can explain how grouping ships (that Japanese already knew about & their numbers didn’t suddenly increase) in a very defenseless way helps intimidate anyone that does not come for a guided tour - which wasn’t really needed as they intentionally posted detailed photos in papers & sent the seamen on vacation.

            Not to mention that you can’t intimidate someone with a bad tactical decision, this isn’t a split second decision-making, all of it takes months of planning. And all the documented warnings within the military were just ignored as false positives.

            And US didn’t really give a damn about China at that time (no political pressure either), but they owned quite a lot of debt and other interests towards various European countries. But the public was still full of veterans from previous wars & Nazi propaganda was hitting strong in US (eg rich manufacturers & exporters like Ford, but also “common folk” responded to their, em, “racial theories”).

            But above all that, everytime since the civil war when US arms industry didn’t get a big hike in spending seemingly extremely provoked preventable attacks happen that saway the public option in a big way for the next two decades (then hippies come, get criminalized, a few years of peace, etc).

            So in about 10 years or so US will rig live nukes (in a random city like Las Vegas) & connect them to a big red bottom, pay Hollywood to make action movies about it … then sad times of money over mass tragedy continue.

            On January 27, 1941, Grew secretly cabled the State Department with rumors passed on by the Peruvian Minister to Japan: “Japan military forces planned a surprise mass attack at Pearl Harbor in case of ‘trouble’ with the United States.” – wiki/Joseph_Grew

            Edit: Oh, my bad, US did go beyond politics & actively blockaded resources to Japan.

  • bradorsomething@ttrpg.network
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    1 year ago

    Reading books by CIA folks over the years, Mossad has benefitted from Arabs that feel this violence isn’t reasonable, and provide intel to help stop raids. I can guess that Iran has helped with signal intel over time to determine who’s calling in tips, and left those people in place while cutting them out of the loop on this attack. Probably Mossad was getting false traffic from normal moles while all this was planned.

    Sadly there’s not a good end for those informers post attack, they served their role to keep Mossad complacent, and likely died just after the strike.

    All conjecture (I have no intel sources on this), but bad for Mossad if true. This would leave them back to square one on human intel if it happened.

  • Chickenstalker@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    War has changed. Drones, internet and new MANPADS have eroded Israel’s technological supremacy as shown in Ukraine vs Russia. Now it is more risky for Israel to go against their enemies. Already there’s footage of the vaunted Merkava tank blown to pieces. Also, this was the perfect storm:

    1. The US is preoccupied with political infigthing (thanks, Republitards!)

    2. The Israeli government was busy oppressing it’s own Jewish people because they drunk too much rightwing koolaid (thanks, Trumpettes!)

    3. Item no. 2 made Israel lose a lot of support from the West.

    4. Technological weapons breakthroughs in Ukraine (thanks, Putin!)

    They made their bed, and now they have to sleep in it. The balance of power has shifted. I forsee Israel using nukes in the next 5 to 10 years out of desperation but it will backfire spectacularly.

  • merthyr1831@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Because it’s an expensive propaganda tool. Insanely expensive against cheap and plentiful Scud missiles.

    Plus, there’s not much incentive to stop 100% of the missiles because that would make it harder to justify military aid. Though in this case it could easily be that the system just isn’t as effective as it likes to tell the people it’s encouraging to move into Palestinian homes.

    • Ghyste@sh.itjust.works
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      1 year ago

      Except the Iron Dome has been active 24/7 for years and is arguably the most effective ground-based aerial defense system in the world.

      Please understand that I’m not endorsing any conspiracies. I’m genuinely curious what happened. Right now my best informed hypothesis is that the sheer number of rockets launched managed to overwhelm the system.

      If anyone has better information I would greatly appreciate hearing it.

      • sivalente@lemm.ee
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        1 year ago

        The missile attack was pure saturation. So many objects in the air at once is just too much for the few launchers available. There’s only like 7 of them actually online at any given time. They cost a billion dollars each.

        They waited for a day everyone wants to be home, did a massive attack to send everyone into hiding, and then breached the gates. It’s such a massive power move that no one thought they’d be stupid enough to do. Yes, it succeeded, but they can’t win, and the response now will be tenfold more powerful. And justified.

      • itwasawednesday@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Is it even arguable? What else would come close? My assumption is the same, stock up and then throw everything you have blitzkrieg style in an effort to oversaturated it.

    • BradleyUffner@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Plenty of military people saw it coming. They were prevented from acting on it by the same powers that were commiting the crime