I was once talking with one of my classmates and he said that in the future, there will be universal basic income implemented by entire world. I was not convinced at that time and thought he is just being stupid but given the layoffs happening and massive amount of unemployment, I am thinking about this possibility. What do you say?

  • yermaw@sh.itjust.works
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    1 day ago

    UBI is the future if we are allowed peace.

    WW3 in an apocalyptic scale is much more likely. Don’t need to feed the obsolete peasants if they’re all dead.

  • AAA@feddit.org
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    1 day ago

    Yes, but not in the way we envision it.

    Wealth inequality will increase. Drastically. There will be a small group of people owning basically everything. But they still need cheap labor and subjects, plus someone needs to consume their products. Because jobs will be limited UBI will be implemented: as a baseline to keep us alive, not as a tool for general prosperity.

    Watch “Elysium” how this bleak world may look. It’s not a great movie, but has that “everyone but a few people is super fucked”-theme locked down.

  • jpreston2005@lemmy.world
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    24 hours ago

    If we replaced all of our current welfare systems with a simple UBI, it would save us money. In terms of running the system, and simplifying taxes. Don’t need to take 5 different taxes out of your paycheck, just one. Earn over a certain amount? You don’t get it. The majority of people won’t, because they’ll be earning enough to pay in but not collect. This would have to be done alongside universal healthcare, as tying healthcare to employment wouldn’t work much anymore, which would also save us a massive amount of money.

    The result of which, is an absolute explosion of creative genius and new businesses. People no longer hindered by the threat of starving in the street, or losing their healthcare, would finally be able to start that business they always wanted to. They’d be able to create their long-overdue masterpiece. Literature, art, new inventions. There’s a guy out there right now that, if given the space and a bit of assistance, could create the first prototype of a warp drive. There’s someone else who has a pretty good idea about how to cure dementia, and halt the aging process.

    Just imagine the possibilities of actually investing in our people, and in our society, instead of handing all of our money to billionaires, and letting those evil mentally handicapped fuckwits steer the course of humanity straight into a climate change-driven mass-extinction event.

    Just Imagine.

  • Clbull@lemmy.world
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    1 day ago

    UBI to me is a leftist pipe dream of how a post-scarcity society could work. When you actually look at the financials and how greedy humanity is, it all falls apart and will either bankrupt entire nations or pay an absolute pittance.

    The UK’s voluntary living wage is £13.45 an hour, which translates to £26,227.50 for someone working full time 37.5 hours a week. If we replaced our entire welfare system (state pensions, Universal Credit, child benefit, Personal Independence Payments, Disability Living Allowance, etc) and paid our approx 58.1 million population of working age people and retirees the living wage, it would cost us over £1.5 trillion, or roughly half our annual GDP. Our current welfare expenditure by comparison is at an estimated £333.7 billion.

    I am using the Living Wage as a comparison since it’s an agreed metric calculated by a non-profit organisation for how much a worker would need to earn to live on their wage in the UK. To pay a living wage to every adult in the country we would need to spend nearly three times as much as what the USA spends on its military.

    The question then becomes “How the fuck will we pay for it?” We can’t even get the rich to pay their fair share of tax as things stand. They are going to flat-out refuse to foot the bill once AI leads to mass unemployment.

    What I think is a more likely scenario is societal collapse. People starve, leading to widespread civil unrest and then a brutal and violent crackdown, made easier than ever by armed drones and humanoid robots that have no sense of morals. This is exactly the kind of doomsday scenario that a lot of billionaires are prepping for.

    The only way I can see humanity not ripping itself apart is if automation somehow makes the cost of living so cheap that UBI could viably exist.

    • jpreston2005@lemmy.world
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      1 day ago

      You’re forgetting to factor in all the people that won’t receive it because they already earn enough. A majority of people won’t get anything at all. Replacing all of our current welfare systems with a simple UBI would save us money. It’s just that the billionaires are under the impression that it would stop people from working harder for a better life, which is also something they think about our current welfare system, and has never been true.

      • Clbull@lemmy.world
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        23 hours ago

        I’m talking about a scenario where entire industries of workers end up getting displaced by AI and robotics, and I don’t think we’re far off from this becoming a reality. If Tesla’s Optimus 3 robots are anywhere near as advanced as they are rumoured to be, they could easily replace warehouse and logistics workers.

        We already have Waymo disrupting the taxi industry further by removing the driver from the equation, and Miso Robotics automating kitchens in restaurant chains like Jersey Mike’s Subs and White Castle.

        Also, doesn’t means-testing UBI kinda defeat its intended purpose?

        • jpreston2005@lemmy.world
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          23 hours ago

          New tools used to replace workers happens throughout the course of human history, I don’t think we will ever see robots replace humans successfully enough to really dent the workforce, they’ll just go to other industries.

          Though the one industry whose collapse could spur the entire UBI system, is long-haul truckers. That may happen, but again, I think they’ll just go into other off-shoot industries, and the change in workforce won’t be so dramatic that it’s one day they’re all on the road with jobs, and the next day they’re all out of work. You’ll need truckers with experience to actually park the things for loading/un-loading, and nobody is going to trust an AI or robot with piloting that much freight all by itself. they’ll want a human behind the wheel, ready to take over.

          The industry we should be driving people towards is computer chip manufacturing.

          • Clbull@lemmy.world
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            21 hours ago

            Each technological advancement has created new jobs in some capacity. What new jobs has AI created? And don’t tell me “prompt engineer” like every AI bro likes to hype up. That is not an actual position and the fact that I cannot find any jobs advertised where typing out very specific and accurate prompts are one of the skills required is proof of this.

            AI isn’t perfect. It hallucinates and sometimes gives bad answers. But I think that we are one incredibly good model away from being able to reliably automate white collar work.

            • jpreston2005@lemmy.world
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              2 hours ago

              Ah, I think AI is shite, and most people reliably hate it. It’s just a new fad that will be sectioned off for tiny use-cases in the future, I don’t think it will reliably be able to do anyones job at scale

  • Alexfire@lemmy.world
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    1 day ago

    Would be nice but the wealthy won’t allow it. You can trace back to when the wealth/power inequality ramped up and those with the power will never let it go, and worse with their propaganda on all the socials most scroll mindlessly. The same methods to keep people going along with the flow was used way back then and still today. Keep people in low-level thinking, don’t question, just obey supernatural explanations, Perry’s scheme 1-3 of 9, they use all the neurological tricks like fear, reward, belonging, etc so people comply and conform, just what the owners and those who also benefit from the high-control systems want.

  • Talcosis@lemmy.zip
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    1 day ago

    I think we already have a rudimentary form of UBI in the debt system. You’re born with a certain level of creditworthiness, which you can “spend” on getting credit.

  • AndyMFK@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    1 day ago

    Yes, but only because your question implies there is a future for humanity, and I believe UBI is realistically one of the few ways humanity even gets a future

  • weeeeum@lemmy.world
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    2 days ago

    No because corps and oligarchs will campaign against it, inexplicably win, and destroy one of the country’s greatest achievements with cheers and applause

    Its cynical, but its happened to many social programs thay way.

  • DJKJuicy@sh.itjust.works
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    2 days ago

    UBI will only come as a response to a new economic depression. The idea that our society will proactively fix itself has been proven wrong time after time.

    Humans only learn the hard way.

  • gabelstapler@feddit.org
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    2 days ago

    No. Once the people have the time and leisure to think and mingle they might find out who the real source of the problem is. So it’s better to keep your slaves busy and struggling to keep the roof over their head and their belly not empty.

    • gandalf_der_13te@feddit.org
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      2 days ago

      that’s not really how people are, though. if people are happy, they generally see little reason to change something about their situation. everything else is delusional

  • danc4498@lemmy.world
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    3 days ago

    I don’t honestly think it will happen in a way that is genuinely good for people. It will happen in a way where the rich and powerful are in control and can use it as a method for maintaining control.

    • AdolfSchmitler@lemmy.world
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      3 days ago

      Came here to say this. Nobody in power gives up their power to the masses willingly, it must be taken. And the price is almost always paid in blood and suffering. And every victory is only temporary as they try to regain the power that was taken from them.

  • whereitsat@lemmy.zip
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    2 days ago

    no lol.

    have you ever met a rich person? like a real rich person? they’re arrogant and snobby and think the rest of us have no right to exist. there’s a reason there’s this massive push to implement AI. part of it is to save money but the other part of it is that they legit think that we’re all lesser and AI replacing call centers and fast food jobs will hasten our departure.

    we’ll all end up being thrown in a volcano before they implement UBI.

    i’d say asia has more of a chance in the long run just because social responsibility is part of culture and that can often act as an antidote to the worst parts of capitalism. south korea can be gross but at least they throw their corrupt leaders in jail…

    no chance of this happening in the states.

    • CanadaPlus@lemmy.sdf.org
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      2 days ago

      have you ever met a rich person? like a real rich person?

      Yes. The one I got to know best is fine, you wouldn’t even know.

      • sportsjorts@lemmy.zip
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        2 days ago

        Yes. They are fucking insufferable assholes who think they are God’s gifts to the earth. I’ve meet oodles and I can count a handful that weren’t absolute shit or total idiots. Eat the rich.

  • Zorque@lemmy.world
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    3 days ago

    UBI is a bandaid to keep capitalism propped up by neo-liberals. It’s contingent on the idea that society is dependent on people spending money, rather than getting essential services and enough free time to maintain mental stability.

    • gandalf_der_13te@feddit.org
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      3 days ago

      rather than getting essential services

      UBI says income, not money. resources and services provided to you would still be income.

    • boonhet@sopuli.xyz
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      3 days ago

      It makes working voluntary but still incentivized, whereas without something like that, someone needs to force people to do the jobs that provide those essential services. People will volunteer doing fun things for their local community, but generally no further.

      • Zorque@lemmy.world
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        3 days ago

        Yeah, I mean it’s not like a lot of those services are already populated by people who are underpaid and overworked because they love what they do and love helping people…

        • boonhet@sopuli.xyz
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          2 days ago

          You mean people who got the jobs they could get and would prefer not working those jobs if they could get away with it. Trust me, a lot of people working physically demanding jobs don’t do it because of their enjoyment of wrecking their own bodies.

      • bdot@lemmy.world
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        3 days ago

        nah. there’s people out there whose favourite thing is to do the niche “yucky” or tedious things, but they can’t, because they had to get a job in marketing, or work in retail because they needed ANY job just so they could survive.

        • boonhet@sopuli.xyz
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          2 days ago

          Yes, I’m sure plenty of people actually wanted to become plumbers, farmers or construction workers, but had to settle for a job in marketing or such because that was all they could find.

          • bdot@lemmy.world
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            2 days ago

            i think you get my point, though. during the pandemic, the garden centres emptied out, because people wanted to grow their own food.

            • boonhet@sopuli.xyz
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              2 days ago

              Growing your own food isn’t the same as growing food for 10,000 people at all. My family’s been growing a portion of our own food all my life, don’t think any of us wants to work 12+ hour days in the fields in the summer.

              • bdot@lemmy.world
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                2 days ago

                plenty of people find satisfaction from doing that sort of thing. i know i do. problem is - i just can’t afford the risk of devoting all of time to that right now, because there’s no guarantee for my financial security.

                i also make my own maple syrup, and keep bees. would raise chickens, if my local bylaws weren’t so outdated.

                and i never claimed that I would be doing it for 10K people. where’d ya get that number from?